Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | ME +250 UNH -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -0.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -0.3 (+3.3) | 131.6 (-16.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -0.3 (+2.7) | 130.4 (-15.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -0.4 (+3.4) | 132.4 (-17.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -0.9 (+3.9) | 131.7 (-16.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-7 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 2-6 | 9-6 |
| Home | 1-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 1-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 53.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#270) | -3.1 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#301) | -0.31 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#297) | -0.52 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.267 (#334) | 0.505 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 28.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 83.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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