Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +105 ORU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +12 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -5.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.9 (-10.1) | 146.7 (+31.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -2.9 (-9.1) | 152.1 (+25.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -2.2 (-9.8) | 152.0 (+26.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -2.3 (-9.7) | 147.8 (+30.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-20 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-5 |
| Home | 1-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#272) | 1.2 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#220) | -1.03 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#240) | -1.13 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#158) | 0.492 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 59.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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