Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | DEL -120 COFC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -4.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.6 (+0.4) | 133.4 (+3.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -2.1 (+0.9) | 129.2 (+7.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -1.9 (+1.1) | 132.8 (+4.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -2.2 (+0.8) | 133.4 (+3.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 23, 2024 | COFC 90 – 71 DEL |
| Feb 4, 2023 | COFC 84 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 7, 2023 | COFC 75 – 64 DEL |
| Feb 25, 2022 | COFC 99 – 96 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 6-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#251) | -7.0 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#271) | -2.07 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#273) | -2.58 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#309) | 0.395 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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