Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | RICH -200 SBU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -4.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.2 (-7.2) | 144.8 (-9.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.5 (-4.5) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.0 (-7.0) | 148.2 (-13.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.2 (-7.2) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | RICH 99 – 94 SBU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICH 89 – 80 SBU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | SBU 63 – 49 RICH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | RICH 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | SBU 66 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 11-4 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#69) | 6.6 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#51) | 1.32 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#62) | 2.14 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#40) | 0.670 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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