Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +180 CSUB -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +1 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -13.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+37.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -9.7 (+10.7) | 142.5 (+36.5) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -10.0 (+11.0) | 143.0 (+36.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -10.3 (+11.3) | 147.3 (+31.7) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -8.7 (+9.7) | 144.0 (+35.0) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 4-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 4-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#324) | 2.5 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#189) | 0.10 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#208) | 0.57 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#203) | 0.503 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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