Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | NE -200 ELON +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +23 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NE -6.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -4.2 (+18.8) | 131.5 (-4.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -3.7 (+19.3) | 129.6 (-2.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -3.5 (+19.5) | 131.5 (-4.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -4.8 (+18.2) | 132.2 (-5.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Home | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#174) | -3.1 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#217) | -0.37 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#178) | -1.18 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#165) | 0.447 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 35.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 37.2% |
Game Analysis
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