Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | MIA +165 CLEM -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -8.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.9 (+4.9) | 128.9 (+2.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.2 (+4.2) | 130.3 (+0.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -6.1 (+5.1) | 128.8 (+2.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.1 (+5.1) | 127.3 (+3.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 4-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | 12.9 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#150) | 3.25 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#170) | 4.66 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#160) | 0.671 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 27.3% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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