Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +350 BGSU -430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +26 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -18.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-41.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -12.2 (-13.8) | 149.7 (-39.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -11.7 (-14.3) | 145.2 (-35.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -13.8 (-12.2) | 150.2 (-40.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -12.2 (-13.8) | 149.2 (-39.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | BGSU 68 – 52 NIU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BGSU 71 – 58 NIU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BGSU 84 – 77 NIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 72 NIU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NIU 86 – 78 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-16 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -17.1 (#328) | 4.5 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#323) | 1.57 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.41 (#319) | 1.78 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#301) | 0.588 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 21.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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