Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -550 W&M +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -13.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -10.2 (-5.2) | 143.9 (-26.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.0 (-4.0) | 139.7 (-22.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -9.5 (-4.5) | 142.1 (-25.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.3 (-5.3) | 144.1 (-27.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-6 |
| Home | 7-3 | 1-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#111) | -6.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#78) | -1.19 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#77) | -2.47 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#36) | 0.453 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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