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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–12 on winners spread MAE 11.1 22 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Utah @ UCLA +5.0 140.4 68% 70–72 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +2.9 142.5 60% 84–73 ✗
Arizona @ Washington -9.3 142.7 21% 80–53 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +4.1 136.7 64% 78–65 ✗
Boise State @ San José State -20.0 148.9 12% 106–54 ✓
Nevada @ New Mexico +2.0 140.8 56% 68–54 ✗
California @ Oregon +13.6 134.7 84% 69–82 ✓
Colorado @ USC +4.0 144.6 58% 72–62 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -6.5 137.5 33% 58–70 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +1.9 125.0 55% 61–63 ✓
Liberty @ Lipscomb -11.3 141.9 23% 70–77 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +10.8 148.8 85% 86–95 ✓
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +7.1 145.5 72% 77–84 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte +1.1 137.9 55% 67–63 ✗
Rider @ Fairfield +0.4 137.5 49% 70–62 ✗
UT Arlington @ Little Rock +5.7 148.6 79% 93–102 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris -1.0 146.7 48% 64–67 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +8.7 148.8 78% 68–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +2.1 133.2 54% 62–57 ✗
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +1.4 162.3 62% 69–81 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern +2.8 154.9 64% 88–59 ✗
Troy @ App State +7.2 127.8 64% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.