Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -2.0 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money RMU -125 / MILW +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +3 131 Won
Massey MILW -3.3 (+6.3) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (-19.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 34% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -0.8 (+3.8) 147.0 (-16.0) 44% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MILW -0.6 (+3.6) 140.0 (-9.0) 50% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MILW -1.9 (+4.9) 145.2 (-14.2) 47% ✗
Baseline ML MILW -1.0 (+4.0) 146.7 (-15.7) 48% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 RMU 88 – 76 MILW
Dec 7, 2025 MILW 74 – 72 RMU
Feb 23, 2025 RMU 72 – 59 MILW
Jan 19, 2025 RMU 81 – 79 MILW
Feb 10, 2024 RMU 71 – 60 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU MILW
Overall 4-15 10-12
Conference 3-12 7-10
Home 3-6 4-5
Away 1-9 6-6
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 1-3 3-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 75.5
Avg Pts Against 79.8 76.3
Massey -4.9 (#243) 2.3 (#126)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#229) -0.26 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.43 (#233) -0.10 (#172)
RPI 0.494 (#170) 0.467 (#203)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU MILW
FG% 49.4% 44.1%
3PT% 42.2% 30.8%
REB / G 30.2 36.5
OREB / G 11.2 9.0
AST / TO 1.05 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.4% 49.5%
TOV% 21.5% 15.5%
ORB% 32.8% 27.3%
FT Rate 15.7% 30.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.5% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 17.1%
DRB% 61.8% 78.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 17.6%

Game Analysis

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