And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Halton Arena · January 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -7.0 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Money CLT +240 / WKU -280
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual WKU +4 130 Lost
Massey CLT -0.2 (-4.2) — —
Massey Totals — 134.0 (-4.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -1.3 (-5.3) 136.9 (-6.9) 48% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -0.3 (-4.3) 132.2 (-2.2) 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -1.5 (-5.5) 136.9 (-6.9) 53% ✗
Baseline ML CLT -1.1 (-5.1) 137.9 (-7.9) 55% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2023 CLT 68 – 64 WKU
Jan 22, 2023 CLT 75 – 71 WKU
Feb 18, 2022 WKU 77 – 67 CLT
Feb 4, 2022 WKU 78 – 59 CLT
Jan 2, 2021 CLT 75 – 71 WKU

Game Analysis

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