He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
E.A. Diddle Arena · February 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 142.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +10 144 Won
Massey WKU -7.4 (+2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 147.8 (-3.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -7.2 (+2.8) 148.0 (-4.0) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -8.6 (+1.4) 144.6 (-0.6) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -8.2 (+1.8) 148.0 (-4.0) 78% ✓
Baseline ML WKU -7.3 (+2.7) 148.0 (-4.0) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2023 CLT 68 – 64 WKU
Jan 22, 2023 CLT 75 – 71 WKU
Feb 4, 2022 WKU 78 – 59 CLT
Jan 2, 2021 CLT 75 – 71 WKU
Jan 1, 2021 WKU 67 – 63 CLT

Game Analysis

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