And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Conference USA · Halton Arena · February 17, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -3.5 Home covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money CLT -175 / WKU +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual CLT +4 132 Won
Massey CLT -7.3 (-3.3) — —
Massey Totals — 128.6 (+3.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -5.0 (-1.0) 129.6 (+2.4) 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -4.2 (-0.2) 127.4 (+4.6) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -4.3 (-0.3) 132.3 (-0.3) 69% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -4.7 (-0.7) 132.6 (-0.6) 70% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2023 CLT 75 – 71 WKU
Feb 18, 2022 WKU 77 – 67 CLT
Feb 4, 2022 WKU 78 – 59 CLT
Jan 2, 2021 CLT 75 – 71 WKU
Jan 1, 2021 WKU 67 – 63 CLT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLT WKU
Overall 22-14 17-16
Conference 9-11 8-12
Home 11-4 9-5
Away 5-8 5-9
Neutral 6-2 3-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak W4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.9 69.7
Avg Pts Against 62.6 71.6
Massey 3.5 (#115) -0.1 (#171)
Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#134) 0.25 (#146)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#124) -0.00 (#173)
RPI 0.507 (#160) 0.505 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors CLT WKU
FG% 46.7% 44.0%
3PT% 36.8% 35.3%
REB / G 29.6 33.6
OREB / G 6.8 8.8
AST / TO 1.19 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 50.4%
TOV% 17.8% 16.2%
ORB% 23.9% 25.4%
FT Rate 18.7% 24.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 18.3%
DRB% 76.6% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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