Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -163 CLT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -1.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -1.5 (-2.5) | 131.1 (+14.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.9 (-2.1) | 129.1 (+16.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.1 (-2.9) | 131.5 (+14.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -1.9 (-2.1) | 132.4 (+13.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | CLT 68 – 64 WKU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | WKU 77 – 67 CLT |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WKU 78 – 59 CLT |
| Jan 2, 2021 | CLT 75 – 71 WKU |
| Jan 1, 2021 | WKU 67 – 63 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 62.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#175) | 4.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#148) | 0.43 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#180) | 0.68 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.514 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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