Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +110 WKU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +19 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -0.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -1.0 (-20.0) | 142.7 (-5.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -0.3 (-18.7) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.5 (-20.5) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -1.6 (-20.6) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | CLT 68 – 64 WKU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | CLT 75 – 71 WKU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | WKU 77 – 67 CLT |
| Jan 2, 2021 | CLT 75 – 71 WKU |
| Jan 1, 2021 | WKU 67 – 63 CLT |
Game Analysis
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