Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MD +125 MICH -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -5.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -3.1 (-14.1) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -2.9 (-13.9) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -4.0 (-15.0) | 142.5 (+14.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -2.9 (-13.9) | 142.5 (+14.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | MICH 101 – 83 MD |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MICH 81 – 80 MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | MD 71 – 65 MICH |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MD 64 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MD 64 – 58 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#21) | 12.1 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#25) | 3.60 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#24) | 5.95 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#9) | 0.689 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.