And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
UCLA Bruins
72 – 70
FINAL Conference
Utah Utes
Pac-12 Conference · Pauley Pavilion · January 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -7.0 Away covered
O/U 137.0 Over
Money UCLA -300 / UTAH +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +2 142 Won
Massey UCLA -6.7 (-4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 144.3 (-2.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -5.4 (-3.4) 141.3 (+0.7) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -5.1 (-3.1) 142.1 (-0.1) 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -4.8 (-2.8) 141.7 (+0.3) 72% ✓
Baseline ML UCLA -5.0 (-3.0) 140.4 (+1.6) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2024 UTAH 70 – 69 UCLA
Jan 12, 2024 UTAH 90 – 44 UCLA
Feb 24, 2023 UCLA 78 – 71 UTAH
Jan 13, 2023 UCLA 68 – 49 UTAH
Jan 21, 2022 UCLA 63 – 58 UTAH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA UTAH
Overall 22-10 12-13
Conference 13-6 8-11
Home 11-1 8-5
Away 5-6 3-7
Neutral 6-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.4 72.1
Avg Pts Against 68.4 69.8
Massey 8.6 (#57) 5.7 (#85)
Bradley-Terry 1.37 (#78) 0.69 (#121)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#68) 1.03 (#113)
RPI 0.566 (#79) 0.457 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA UTAH
FG% 46.2% 43.4%
3PT% 35.1% 34.7%
REB / G 39.0 34.2
OREB / G 11.3 10.4
AST / TO 1.47 1.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 49.0%
TOV% 15.7% 13.5%
ORB% 33.1% 27.7%
FT Rate 29.0% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 45.7%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 26.4%
DRB% 75.8% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 15.9%

Game Analysis

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