Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +340 ARIZ -420 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +27 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -10.2 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -9.0 (-18.0) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.7 (-16.3) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -10.4 (-16.6) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -9.3 (-17.7) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 75 WASH |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 72 WASH |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ARIZ 70 – 67 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | ARIZ 92 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 4, 2022 | ARIZ 95 – 79 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | 13.0 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#257) | 2.05 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#232) | 3.09 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#239) | 0.580 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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