Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Over |
| Money | RICE +110 UTSA -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +9 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -12.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -11.0 (-2.0) | 147.5 (+33.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -9.9 (-0.9) | 151.2 (+29.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -11.8 (-2.8) | 151.2 (+29.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -10.8 (-1.8) | 148.8 (+32.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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