Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +130 NAU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -8.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -4.8 (-17.8) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -4.3 (-17.3) | 130.5 (+12.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.9 (-15.9) | 136.0 (+7.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -4.1 (-17.1) | 136.7 (+6.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-21 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 4-10 |
| Home | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#293) | -14.1 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#289) | -2.27 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#293) | -3.53 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.336 (#321) | 0.451 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 26.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 63.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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