Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | FAIR -0.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -1.2 (-9.2) | 136.3 (-4.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -0.5 (-8.5) | 132.8 (-0.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -0.8 (-8.8) | 136.2 (-4.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -0.4 (-8.4) | 137.5 (-5.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FAIR 68 – 62 RID |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FAIR 69 – 49 RID |
| Dec 5, 2024 | FAIR 78 – 75 RID |
| Feb 9, 2024 | FAIR 84 – 67 RID |
| Dec 3, 2023 | FAIR 88 – 81 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-8 | 1-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#312) | -8.8 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#298) | -2.09 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#269) | -3.17 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#315) | 0.396 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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