Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | USC -180 COLO +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -3.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -3.2 (-13.2) | 145.2 (-11.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -3.1 (-13.1) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -3.1 (-13.1) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -4.0 (-14.0) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | COLO 92 – 89 USC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | COLO 68 – 58 USC |
| Feb 24, 2023 | USC 84 – 65 COLO |
| Jan 13, 2023 | USC 68 – 61 COLO |
| Jan 21, 2022 | USC 61 – 58 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#8) | 16.4 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#43) | 1.66 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#22) | 2.14 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#21) | 0.586 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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