Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | YSU -300 GB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -9.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -7.7 (-0.7) | 145.2 (+15.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -7.9 (-0.9) | 144.1 (+16.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -8.3 (-1.3) | 145.7 (+15.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -7.1 (-0.1) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 8-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#202) | -8.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#168) | -3.39 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#183) | -4.22 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#220) | 0.417 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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