Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNM +185 NEV -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +14 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -3.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -2.9 (-16.9) | 141.9 (-19.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -1.7 (-15.7) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -2.0 (-16.0) | 139.0 (-17.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -2.0 (-16.0) | 140.8 (-18.8) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 10-7 |
| Home | 1-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#193) | -1.2 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#80) | -0.04 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#74) | -0.37 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#34) | 0.516 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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