Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -105 JAX -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -6.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -2.4 (-7.4) | 132.5 (-13.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -2.2 (-7.2) | 134.6 (-15.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.5 (-7.5) | 135.4 (-16.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -2.1 (-7.1) | 133.2 (-14.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2024 | KENN 66 – 61 JAX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | KENN 83 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | KENN 81 – 68 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | JAX 59 – 56 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#266) | -9.3 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#288) | -1.21 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#282) | -2.13 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#214) | 0.433 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 23.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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