Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | ORE -1200 CAL +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -17.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -14.9 (-1.9) | 135.8 (+15.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -13.0 (+0.0) | 132.2 (+18.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -11.9 (+1.1) | 135.5 (+15.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -13.6 (-0.6) | 134.7 (+16.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2024 | CAL 69 – 64 ORE |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ORE 80 – 73 CAL |
| Mar 3, 2023 | ORE 84 – 51 CAL |
| Jan 19, 2023 | ORE 87 – 58 CAL |
| Feb 12, 2022 | CAL 78 – 64 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-2 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#23) | -0.8 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#21) | -0.24 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.21 (#18) | -0.54 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#39) | 0.472 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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