Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | CCU +125 GAST -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -1.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 177.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -0.5 (+11.5) | 162.3 (-12.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -2.4 (+9.6) | 161.5 (-11.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -1.1 (+10.9) | 167.8 (-17.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.4 (+10.6) | 162.3 (-12.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
Game Analysis
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