Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | SJSU +2000 BOIS -7000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +52 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -32.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -14.5 (-37.5) | 143.4 (+16.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -13.0 (-39.0) | 150.3 (+9.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -23.7 (-28.3) | 152.4 (+7.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -20.0 (-32.0) | 148.9 (+11.1) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 0-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -19.4 (#331) | 16.9 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#323) | 3.29 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.69 (#323) | 5.14 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#323) | 0.721 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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