Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–10 on winners spread MAE 10.5 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Seton Hall @ Xavier +5.7 147.9 72% 85–68 ✗
La Salle @ Dayton +5.5 133.8 68% 67–65 ✗
Richmond @ Davidson +3.3 144.2 67% 80–74 ✗
Mississippi State @ Georgia +7.9 146.2 73% 83–73 ✗
Arkansas @ Auburn -2.8 147.9 30% 97–85 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +7.7 141.9 81% 55–68 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +0.6 142.7 56% 78–86 ✓
North Carolina @ Georgia Tech -1.3 149.5 46% 67–72 ✗
Boston College @ NC State +16.7 152.8 89% 76–79 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Eastern Kentucky +5.8 154.0 76% 61–69 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee State +1.0 143.5 50% 68–59 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ TCU +14.6 145.7 88% 61–66 ✓
VMI @ Samford +5.6 151.7 71% 71–84 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +3.5 142.6 68% 85–87 ✓
UT Martin @ Jacksonville State +13.8 140.2 87% 70–80 ✓
Tennessee @ Missouri -0.4 132.0 42% 73–53 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +10.1 154.1 78% 61–82 ✓
Portland @ Seattle U +2.9 140.4 58% 68–84 ✓
Florida @ Vanderbilt -5.3 141.3 26% 91–72 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech -0.4 143.9 42% 63–72 ✗
Sacramento State @ Saint Mary's +8.7 130.5 76% 45–63 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Hampton +1.1 141.5 56% 80–69 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +14.7 150.9 85% 76–94 ✓
Radford @ Presbyterian -3.8 129.8 39% 63–65 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +0.2 145.4 53% 55–65 ✓
Utah State @ Air Force -5.6 129.3 24% 83–48 ✓
Minnesota @ Wisconsin +6.1 148.2 74% 59–71 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +18.9 144.7 91% 62–70 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +9.5 144.9 81% 60–51 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.