Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ +160 TENN -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +20 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -1.3 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -1.9 (-21.9) | 133.7 (-7.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -0.2 (-20.2) | 134.7 (-8.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.2 (-16.8) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -0.4 (-19.6) | 132.0 (-6.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TENN 85 – 81 MIZ |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TENN 72 – 67 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MIZ 79 – 71 TENN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#16) | 19.6 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.40 (#2) | 2.58 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.63 (#3) | 4.01 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.725 (#1) | 0.554 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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