Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–10 on winners spread MAE 9.2 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech +27.6 129.9 91% 51–79 ✓
Purdue @ Rutgers +5.8 143.7 76% 76–81 ✓
Florida State @ Clemson +5.6 130.6 70% 67–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ USC +16.5 135.2 86% 63–86 ✓
South Florida @ Memphis +6.3 140.3 76% 57–58 ✓
Texas A&M @ LSU +13.6 146.6 84% 54–77 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer +10.9 142.3 83% 78–65 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +0.1 154.7 54% 87–60 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Lamar -2.3 136.8 43% 64–74 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas State +8.0 140.6 81% 58–60 ✓
Utah Tech @ Gonzaga +26.7 162.1 91% 67–112 ✓
Houston @ Tulsa -5.5 128.7 37% 64–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +6.8 161.6 76% 72–87 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama -0.4 137.5 46% 64–82 ✗
VCU @ Saint Joseph's -12.8 156.1 15% 80–64 ✓
Manhattan @ Delaware State +1.8 145.7 31% 65–59 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham — — — 71–47 —
Furman @ Chattanooga -0.6 147.1 43% 77–73 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ohio +8.6 156.1 76% 83–75 ✗
SMU @ Temple -5.4 136.6 24% 79–71 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Hampton -2.2 141.3 42% 69–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Baylor +36.5 157.8 91% 76–105 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +0.4 144.8 50% 80–73 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +18.0 150.1 90% 83–84 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +19.1 131.8 89% 59–81 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Rhode Island +1.7 143.3 64% 57–63 ✓
Butler @ Providence +7.8 144.2 81% 55–71 ✓
Radford @ Presbyterian -3.0 130.9 32% 71–65 ✓
Virginia @ Notre Dame -7.0 139.1 21% 66–57 ✓
George Mason @ Massachusetts +10.9 152.6 77% 93–92 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +9.2 150.2 82% 52–63 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +10.6 141.5 83% 54–90 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.