Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | LAM -190 SELA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -3.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.2 (+12.2) | 135.7 (+2.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.1 (+12.1) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.1 (+12.1) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.3 (+12.3) | 136.8 (+1.2) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | LAM 73 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 6, 2026 | SELA 60 – 52 LAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SELA 81 – 79 LAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | LAM 77 – 72 SELA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | LAM 74 – 64 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-10 |
| Home | 5-5 | 3-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#323) | -7.7 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#318) | -1.02 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#321) | -1.70 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#301) | 0.466 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 23.2% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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