Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | USC -600 SCU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +23 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | USC -18.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -16.2 (+6.8) | 135.0 (+14.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -15.3 (+7.7) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -17.0 (+6.0) | 140.0 (+9.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -16.5 (+6.5) | 135.2 (+13.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#10) | 1.0 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#52) | 0.89 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#26) | 0.75 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#45) | 0.531 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 40.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 80.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.