Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -36.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +28 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -29.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -24.0 (+4.0) | 131.8 (-1.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -22.3 (+5.7) | 132.8 (-2.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -27.6 (+0.4) | 134.6 (-4.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -27.6 (+0.4) | 129.9 (+0.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | TTU 84 – 62 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 8-14 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#11) | -9.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#24) | -2.44 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.20 (#22) | -3.78 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#75) | 0.385 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 43.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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