Incarnate Word
Cardinals
62
–
84
FINAL
Neutral
South Padre Island Battle on the Beach
Texas Tech
Red Raiders
Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +22 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -17.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -13.6 (-8.4) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -19.0 (-3.0) | 142.2 (+3.8) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -15.8 (-6.2) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2020 | TTU 79 – 51 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-10 | 18-0 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 60.6 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#332) | 7.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#344) | 0.60 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.53 (#352) | 0.75 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#270) | 0.465 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 22.5 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 20.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 30.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 52.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 28.7% |
| DRB% | 57.6% | 82.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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