The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Bramlage Coliseum · December 30, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -10.0 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money KSU -700 / OMA +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +2 118 Won
Massey KSU -10.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (-18.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -7.9 (-5.9) 140.2 (-22.2) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KSU -7.9 (-5.9) 137.5 (-19.5) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KSU -8.3 (-6.3) 139.1 (-21.1) 79% ✓
Baseline ML KSU -8.0 (-6.0) 140.6 (-22.6) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2021 KSU 79 – 64 OMA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU OMA
Overall 9-20 5-20
Conference 4-14 3-11
Home 6-12 1-5
Away 2-7 3-12
Neutral 1-1 1-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 61.6 67.3
Avg Pts Against 69.9 78.0
Massey -1.9 (#193) -8.2 (#287)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#208) -0.63 (#215)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.34 (#235) -1.40 (#239)
RPI 0.490 (#167) 0.508 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU OMA
FG% 45.3% 38.2%
3PT% 33.9% 26.8%
REB / G 32.1 35.6
OREB / G 10.8 9.6
AST / TO 0.99 0.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 41.7%
TOV% 23.1% 21.0%
ORB% 34.5% 24.3%
FT Rate 21.5% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 17.3%
DRB% 70.7% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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