Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | LSU -360 TA&M +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -16.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -12.9 (+10.1) | 146.7 (-15.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -12.6 (+10.4) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -14.0 (+9.0) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -13.6 (+9.4) | 146.6 (-15.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 2-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 66.9 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#13) | 3.0 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#55) | 0.80 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#61) | 0.62 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#47) | 0.498 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.4% | 41.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 27.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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