Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -125 FSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -8.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.8 (+4.2) | 130.2 (+13.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.6 (+4.4) | 130.0 (+14.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -3.1 (+6.9) | 132.1 (+11.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -5.6 (+4.4) | 130.6 (+13.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 11-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 2-5 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#35) | 8.0 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#16) | 2.06 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#18) | 3.36 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#16) | 0.586 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.1% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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