Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -36.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +45 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -27.2 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -22.2 (+22.8) | 159.8 (+19.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -23.4 (+21.6) | 162.6 (+16.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -26.7 (+18.3) | 162.1 (+16.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -28.4 (+16.6) | 164.8 (+14.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | GONZ 97 – 63 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-0 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-0 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#4) | -4.1 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.14 (#1) | -0.19 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.55 (#1) | -0.84 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#5) | 0.462 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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