Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -190 BGSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -11.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -9.0 (-17.0) | 158.1 (-0.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -7.8 (-15.8) | 153.0 (+5.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -8.0 (-16.0) | 156.7 (+1.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -8.6 (-16.6) | 156.1 (+1.9) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Away | 4-4 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#53) | 2.4 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#122) | 1.31 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#94) | 1.60 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#161) | 0.573 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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