Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -4.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -1.7 (+12.7) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.7 (+12.7) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.2 (+13.2) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -1.8 (+12.8) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2022 | GWEB 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Dec 31, 2020 | GWEB 80 – 69 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#291) | -0.2 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#302) | -1.08 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.92 (#309) | -1.27 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.341 (#318) | 0.452 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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