Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | HAMP +160 GWEB -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -0.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -0.3 (-11.3) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.2 (-12.2) | 140.9 (+8.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -1.1 (-12.1) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.9 (-11.9) | 143.7 (+5.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2022 | GWEB 78 – 69 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2020 | HAMP 80 – 69 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#257) | -2.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#276) | -1.80 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#295) | -2.75 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#304) | 0.411 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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