Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -4.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -2.0 (-4.0) | 131.3 (+4.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.3 (-3.7) | 126.2 (+9.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.3 (-2.7) | 130.5 (+5.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.0 (-3.0) | 130.9 (+5.1) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#311) | -3.9 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#278) | -1.66 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#299) | -2.78 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#274) | 0.444 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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