Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -1100 NEB +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +36 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -12.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -11.2 (+24.8) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -9.4 (+26.6) | 141.3 (+2.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -12.1 (+23.9) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -10.6 (+25.4) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-16 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#45) | 2.3 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#35) | -1.10 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.07 (#23) | -1.19 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#29) | 0.439 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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