Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | EMU -210 CMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +27 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -1.0 (-28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.4 (-28.4) | 153.4 (-6.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -1.7 (-28.7) | 152.2 (-5.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -1.4 (-28.4) | 154.3 (-7.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -0.1 (-27.1) | 154.7 (-7.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 7-16 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 5-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 1-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.4 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#286) | -5.0 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#258) | -1.27 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#241) | -1.78 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#237) | 0.397 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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