Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -130 PUR +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -8.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -6.6 (-1.6) | 142.4 (+14.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -4.6 (+0.4) | 138.4 (+18.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -6.4 (-1.4) | 143.8 (+13.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.8 (-0.8) | 143.7 (+13.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | PUR 81 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 5, 2025 | PUR 100 – 71 RUTG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR 68 – 50 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR 68 – 60 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#22) | 9.1 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#10) | 1.86 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.04 (#10) | 2.97 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.704 (#7) | 0.605 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.