Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -700 NU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -10.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -8.4 (+6.6) | 159.8 (-0.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -8.1 (+6.9) | 160.8 (-1.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -8.8 (+6.2) | 164.2 (-5.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.8 (+8.2) | 161.6 (-2.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#6) | 11.0 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#42) | 2.14 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#29) | 4.24 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#87) | 0.570 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.30 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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