Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | UTC +270 FUR -330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -4.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -0.2 (-3.8) | 147.1 (+2.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -0.6 (-3.4) | 146.7 (+3.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -1.1 (-2.9) | 148.3 (+1.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -0.6 (-3.4) | 147.1 (+2.9) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-8 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 10-5 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#101) | 12.6 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#9) | -0.74 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.84 (#12) | -1.02 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#62) | 0.450 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 60.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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