Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | JOES +500 VCU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -10.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -12.1 (-3.9) | 155.1 (-11.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -8.4 (-7.6) | 152.3 (-8.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -12.0 (-4.0) | 155.4 (-11.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -12.8 (-3.2) | 156.1 (-12.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | VCU 77 – 64 JOES |
| Jan 19, 2026 | VCU 79 – 72 JOES |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VCU 78 – 69 JOES |
| Mar 16, 2024 | VCU 66 – 60 JOES |
| Feb 25, 2024 | VCU 73 – 69 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-15 | 19-7 |
| Conference | 3-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 3-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#221) | 11.6 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#254) | 2.06 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#253) | 3.36 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#127) | 0.612 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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